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Red85
17336.2
314634.4
556330.8
Blue93
693320.4
46749.7
110038.1
20%Model gave it80%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions821210501001502008593

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+18
Endgame+8
Fouls+8
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave6
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points17
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +4
13Coral scored#13
46Coral points46
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
60Total teleop64
Reef
5L4#5
3L3#5
4L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
17Game pieces#20
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +8
0Foul points0
85Total score93

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
173
#14
36.20.2
24.624.4
Auto6.3
Teleop27.4
End2.5
blue by 13.5
467
#4
49.71.2
41.139.9
Auto10.8
Teleop29.1
End9.8
Second
34.40.2
29.429.2
Auto2.9
Teleop24.2
End7.2
blue by 3.8
38.12.1
30.228.2
Auto3.4
Teleop29.7
End5.0
Third
5563
#23
30.80.1
21.020.9
Auto2.9
Teleop24.0
End3.9
red by 10.4
6933
#28
20.42.1
29.827.7
Auto4.7
Teleop15.2
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
37%Auto oddsMissed69%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsEarned78%Barge oddsMissed