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Qual 22025 NE District Western NE Event
Red155
19564.4
237040.1
57148.7
Blue69
41694.7
23632.5
42932.5
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1098005015020015569

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+25Auto
+80Teleop
+68Endgame
+86Fouls
AutonomousRed +25
9Leave0
6Coral scored#3
31Coral points15
40Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +55
17Coral scored#5
61Coral points18
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
6Processor points6
16Net points4
22Algae points10
83Total teleop28
Reef
11L4#2
6L3#3
4L2#1
2L1 · trough#2
28Game pieces#10
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +86
18Foul points0
155Total score69

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#1
64.44.1
36.9→41.0
Auto17.6
Teleop39.4
End7.4
red by 31.9
236
#15
32.51.1
29.9→28.8
Auto7.6
Teleop19.7
End5.2
Second
571
#3
48.74.1
24.2→28.3
Auto11.7
Teleop33.6
End3.4
red by 16.1
429
#10
32.50.7
24.4→23.8
Auto7.0
Teleop17.8
End7.7
Third
2370
#11
40.14.1
33.1→37.2
Auto8.8
Teleop27.1
End4.2
red by 35.4
4169
#35
4.71.1
19.3→18.2
Auto2.8
Teleop0.3
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
64%Auto oddsEarned69%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsEarned6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
50%Barge oddsEarned46%Barge oddsEarned