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Red42
217025.2
909614.8
226217.0
Blue126
192226.3
99935.7
801350.0
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57118010015042126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+58
Endgame+60
Fouls+84
AutonomousBlue +14
9Leave6
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points17
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +44
6Coral scored#13
21Coral points47
0Processor algae#3
2Net algae#2
0Processor points18
8Net points8
8Algae points26
29Total teleop73
Reef
2L4#7
2L3#3
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
8Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +84
0Foul points24
42Total score126

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2170
#22
25.21.8
20.318.5
Auto3.1
Teleop18.1
End3.9
blue by 24.8
50.00.2
41.741.5
Auto9.3
Teleop34.1
End6.6
Second
2262
#20
17.01.8
20.919.2
Auto3.8
Teleop10.9
End2.4
blue by 18.7
999
#19
35.70.2
29.028.8
Auto6.6
Teleop26.0
End3.2
Third
9096
#32
14.81.8
16.714.9
Auto4.1
Teleop9.0
End1.6
blue by 11.5
1922
#29
26.30.4
31.631.2
Auto7.8
Teleop14.8
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
40%Auto oddsMissed79%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsMissed80%Barge oddsMissed