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Qual 42025 NE District Western NE Event
Red23
689518.4
971017.4
769423.3
Blue67
346128.8
673130.5
17732.6
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions648902040801001201402367

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+32
Endgame+44
Fouls+44
AutonomousBlue +6
0Leave3
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points9
6Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +26
3Coral scored#8
9Coral points29
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
0Processor points6
4Net points4
4Algae points10
13Total teleop39
Reef
2L4#5
1L3#2
1L2#2
0L1 · trough#1
5Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +44
0Foul points0
23Total score67

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7694
#26
23.34.2
22.6→18.3
Auto2.7
Teleop20.3
End0.3
blue by 9.3
177
#7
32.60.7
25.5→24.8
Auto7.0
Teleop18.6
End7.0
Second
6895
#33
18.44.2
18.5→14.3
Auto3.8
Teleop12.3
End2.3
blue by 12.0
6731
#5
30.50.7
24.7→24.0
Auto7.9
Teleop19.4
End3.2
Third
9710
#30
17.44.2
20.0→15.7
Auto4.8
Teleop10.8
End1.7
blue by 11.4
3461
#17
28.81.1
26.7→25.6
Auto3.4
Teleop22.7
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsMissed86%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsMissed61%Barge oddsEarned