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Red30
1059218.2
217025.2
17824.1
Blue84
314634.4
226217.0
237040.1
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions641000501503084

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+56
Endgame+54
Fouls+54
Autonomouslevel
9Leave9
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +56
3Coral scored#13
11Coral points47
0Processor algae#2
1Net algae#3
0Processor points12
4Net points12
4Algae points24
15Total teleop71
Reef
1L4#4
1L3#5
1L2#2
0L1 · trough#2
4Game pieces#18
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +54
0Foul points0
30Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2170
#22
25.23.6
18.514.9
Auto3.1
Teleop18.1
End3.9
blue by 14.9
2370
#11
40.10.5
37.236.7
Auto8.8
Teleop27.1
End4.2
Second
178
#31
24.13.6
22.919.3
Auto5.7
Teleop15.2
End3.3
blue by 10.2
34.40.5
29.228.7
Auto2.9
Teleop24.2
End7.2
Third
18.22.2
18.716.5
Auto5.2
Teleop11.9
End1.1
red by 1.2
2262
#20
17.00.5
19.218.7
Auto3.8
Teleop10.9
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
61%Auto oddsMissed52%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsMissed54%Barge oddsMissed