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Red33
462820.2
909614.8
10276.6
Blue126
57148.7
42932.5
556330.8
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6383204010012014033126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+15
Teleop+67
Endgame+81
Fouls+93
AutonomousBlue +15
9Leave3
0Coral scored#4
0Coral points21
9Total auto24
TeleoperatedBlue +52
5Coral scored#17
18Coral points60
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
0Processor points6
4Net points8
4Algae points14
22Total teleop74
Reef
2L4#9
1L3#5
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#3
6Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +93
0Foul points12
33Total score126

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4628
#18
20.21.9
20.518.6
Auto4.8
Teleop14.7
End0.7
blue by 28.4
571
#3
48.74.4
28.332.7
Auto11.7
Teleop33.6
End3.4
Second
9096
#32
14.83.2
14.911.7
Auto4.1
Teleop9.0
End1.6
blue by 17.8
429
#10
32.52.6
23.826.4
Auto7.0
Teleop17.8
End7.7
Third
1027
#34
6.63.2
23.820.6
Auto2.0
Teleop4.5
End0.2
blue by 24.2
5563
#23
30.82.6
19.522.1
Auto2.9
Teleop24.0
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
28%Auto oddsMissed55%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed44%Barge oddsEarned