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Qual 132025 NE District Western NE Event
Red92
23632.5
110038.1
860420.1
Blue75
689518.4
192226.3
712738.0
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10679501509275

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
+11Teleop
+17Endgame
+17Fouls
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave3
1Coral scored#4
7Coral points20
13Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +21
12Coral scored#8
43Coral points30
2Processor algae#0
2Net algae#3
12Processor points0
8Net points12
20Algae points12
63Total teleop42
Reef
4L4#3
4L3#5
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#15
BargeRed +6
16Cage & park10
16Total endgame10
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +17
0Foul points0
92Total score75

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1100
#6
38.10.3
32.9→32.6
Auto3.4
Teleop29.7
End5.0
red by 0.1
7127
#24
38.00.2
29.2→28.9
Auto7.4
Teleop28.9
End1.7
Second
236
#15
32.50.3
35.5→35.2
Auto7.6
Teleop19.7
End5.2
red by 6.3
1922
#29
26.30.2
32.2→31.9
Auto7.8
Teleop14.8
End3.7
Third
8604
#25
20.10.3
23.2→22.9
Auto4.6
Teleop14.0
End1.4
red by 1.7
6895
#33
18.40.2
13.3→13.0
Auto3.8
Teleop12.3
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsMissed59%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
55%Barge oddsEarned28%Barge oddsMissed