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Red66
804636.9
346128.8
693320.4
Blue89
17732.6
226217.0
6133.7
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions103732040601201401601806689

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
Teleop+21
Endgame+23
Fouls+23
AutonomousRed +1
0Leave3
3Coral scored#2
13Coral points9
13Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +22
8Coral scored#11
29Coral points41
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#2
6Processor points12
4Net points8
10Algae points20
39Total teleop61
Reef
3L4#5
3L3#4
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +23
0Foul points0
66Total score89

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8046
#13
36.93.0
38.135.1
Auto6.9
Teleop23.3
End6.7
red by 3.2
61
#12
33.71.2
27.128.2
Auto5.2
Teleop22.3
End6.2
Second
3461
#17
28.83.0
26.523.5
Auto3.4
Teleop22.7
End2.6
blue by 3.8
177
#7
32.61.2
25.927.0
Auto7.0
Teleop18.6
End7.0
Third
6933
#28
20.43.0
28.425.4
Auto4.7
Teleop15.2
End0.4
red by 3.3
2262
#20
17.01.9
18.720.6
Auto3.8
Teleop10.9
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
44%Auto oddsEarned62%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
47%Barge oddsEarned75%Barge oddsEarned