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Red131
971017.4
801350.0
57148.7
Blue25
42932.5
856725.4
1059218.2
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions986720408012014016013125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+84Teleop
+94Endgame
+106Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
3Leave9
5Coral scored#1
25Coral points6
28Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +71
14Coral scored#2
49Coral points6
2Processor algae#0
4Net algae#0
12Processor points0
16Net points0
28Algae points0
77Total teleop6
Reef
6L4#2
7L3#1
4L2#0
2L1 · trough#0
25Game pieces#3
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +106
12Foul points0
131Total score25

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.02.0
42.544.5
Auto9.3
Teleop34.1
End6.6
red by 17.5
429
#10
32.52.7
26.423.7
Auto7.0
Teleop17.8
End7.7
Second
571
#3
48.73.4
32.736.0
Auto11.7
Teleop33.6
End3.4
red by 23.3
8567
#21
25.44.6
23.118.5
Auto5.2
Teleop18.3
End1.8
Third
9710
#30
17.43.4
13.416.8
Auto4.8
Teleop10.8
End1.7
blue by 0.8
18.22.7
16.513.8
Auto5.2
Teleop11.9
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsEarned77%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
65%Barge oddsEarned55%Barge oddsMissed