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Qual 162025 NE District Western NE Event
Red124
46749.7
673130.5
462820.2
Blue84
769423.3
490529.9
99935.7
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9356020408010012014012484

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+30Teleop
+40Endgame
+40Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave9
5Coral scored#0
23Coral points0
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +16
20Coral scored#14
71Coral points49
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
6Processor points12
8Net points8
14Algae points20
85Total teleop69
Reef
8L4#4
8L3#4
5L2#4
4L1 · trough#2
28Game pieces#18
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +40
0Foul points0
124Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
467
#4
49.72.4
40.5→42.9
Auto10.8
Teleop29.1
End9.8
red by 14.0
999
#19
35.71.5
27.2→28.7
Auto6.6
Teleop26.0
End3.2
Second
6731
#5
30.52.4
22.4→24.9
Auto7.9
Teleop19.4
End3.2
red by 0.6
4905
#27
29.92.5
12.3→14.8
Auto6.1
Teleop19.3
End4.4
Third
4628
#18
20.22.4
18.6→21.1
Auto4.8
Teleop14.7
End0.7
blue by 3.0
7694
#26
23.32.5
19.0→21.5
Auto2.7
Teleop20.3
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsEarned35%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
62%Barge oddsEarned25%Barge oddsMissed