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Red58
10276.6
860420.1
856725.4
Blue120
23632.5
226217.0
46749.7
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6411505010015058120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+40
Endgame+62
Fouls+62
AutonomousBlue +21
9Leave9
0Coral scored#4
0Coral points21
9Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +19
8Coral scored#12
29Coral points44
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
6Processor points6
12Net points16
18Algae points22
47Total teleop66
Reef
3L4#5
2L3#4
2L2#5
1L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +22
2Cage & park24
2Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +62
0Foul points0
58Total score120

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8567
#21
25.41.3
23.021.7
Auto5.2
Teleop18.3
End1.8
blue by 24.4
467
#4
49.71.0
45.546.5
Auto10.8
Teleop29.1
End9.8
Second
8604
#25
20.11.4
21.419.9
Auto4.6
Teleop14.0
End1.4
blue by 12.5
236
#15
32.51.6
34.536.2
Auto7.6
Teleop19.7
End5.2
Third
1027
#34
6.61.4
17.616.1
Auto2.0
Teleop4.5
End0.2
blue by 10.4
2262
#20
17.01.6
17.619.2
Auto3.8
Teleop10.9
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
27%Auto oddsMissed58%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
53%Barge oddsMissed74%Barge oddsEarned