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Qual 262025 NE District Western NE Event
Red119
490529.9
42932.5
801350.0
Blue153
17662.0
19564.4
693320.4
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9413550150200119153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+44
Endgame+34
Fouls+34
AutonomousBlue +18
6Leave9
4Coral scored#7
20Coral points35
26Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +26
11Coral scored#18
41Coral points63
1Processor algae#3
5Net algae#3
6Processor points18
20Net points12
26Algae points30
67Total teleop93
Reef
4L4#11
5L3#8
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
21Game pieces#31
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +34
0Foul points0
119Total score153

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8013
#8
50.01.8
46.3→48.0
Auto9.3
Teleop34.1
End6.6
blue by 14.4
195
#1
64.43.2
51.4→54.6
Auto17.6
Teleop39.4
End7.4
Second
429
#10
32.51.8
26.3→28.1
Auto7.0
Teleop17.8
End7.7
blue by 29.5
176
#2
62.01.9
51.2→53.1
Auto18.3
Teleop36.4
End7.4
Third
4905
#27
29.92.8
19.7→22.5
Auto6.1
Teleop19.3
End4.4
red by 9.5
6933
#28
20.43.2
21.3→24.6
Auto4.7
Teleop15.2
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsEarned90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
72%Barge oddsEarned79%Barge oddsEarned