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Red66
192226.3
462820.2
110038.1
Blue90
673130.5
971017.4
237040.1
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9197501502006690

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+12
Endgame+22
Fouls+24
Autonomouslevel
9Leave3
1Coral scored#3
7Coral points13
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +12
8Coral scored#11
30Coral points40
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#1
6Processor points12
8Net points4
14Algae points16
44Total teleop56
Reef
3L4#4
3L3#6
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +24
0Foul points2
66Total score90

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.12.1
35.533.3
Auto3.4
Teleop29.7
End5.0
blue by 1.9
2370
#11
40.10.1
41.141.0
Auto8.8
Teleop27.1
End4.2
Second
1922
#29
26.32.1
31.229.1
Auto7.8
Teleop14.8
End3.7
blue by 4.2
30.50.1
26.726.6
Auto7.9
Teleop19.4
End3.2
Third
4628
#18
20.21.3
18.617.3
Auto4.8
Teleop14.7
End0.7
red by 2.8
9710
#30
17.40.1
21.321.2
Auto4.8
Teleop10.8
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsEarned71%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed63%Barge oddsEarned