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Red84
769423.3
556330.8
17824.1
Blue96
99935.7
1059218.2
17732.6
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6384020401001201401608496

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+8
Endgame+20
Fouls+12
AutonomousBlue +6
0Leave6
3Coral scored#3
13Coral points13
13Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +2
11Coral scored#13
41Coral points47
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
59Total teleop61
Reef
7L4#5
3L3#5
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +12
8Foul points0
84Total score96

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5563
#23
30.80.9
23.024.0
Auto2.9
Teleop24.0
End3.9
blue by 4.9
999
#19
35.71.3
30.431.6
Auto6.6
Teleop26.0
End3.2
Second
178
#31
24.11.5
18.119.7
Auto5.7
Teleop15.2
End3.3
blue by 8.4
177
#7
32.61.3
29.831.1
Auto7.0
Teleop18.6
End7.0
Third
7694
#26
23.31.5
20.922.4
Auto2.7
Teleop20.3
End0.3
red by 5.0
18.21.3
16.718.0
Auto5.2
Teleop11.9
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
13%Auto oddsEarned84%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed62%Barge oddsEarned