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Red74
693320.4
17336.2
41694.7
Blue104
346128.8
490529.9
712738.0
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7281406010012074104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+26
Endgame+30
Fouls+30
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave6
3Coral scored#3
13Coral points13
16Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +23
12Coral scored#16
42Coral points57
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
6Processor points6
8Net points16
14Algae points22
56Total teleop79
Reef
6L4#8
3L3#5
4L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +30
0Foul points0
74Total score104

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
173
#14
36.20.7
30.831.5
Auto6.3
Teleop27.4
End2.5
blue by 1.9
7127
#24
38.03.2
29.132.3
Auto7.4
Teleop28.9
End1.7
Second
6933
#28
20.40.7
24.625.2
Auto4.7
Teleop15.2
End0.4
blue by 9.5
4905
#27
29.92.7
22.525.2
Auto6.1
Teleop19.3
End4.4
Third
4169
#35
4.70.7
12.713.4
Auto2.8
Teleop0.3
End1.7
blue by 24.1
3461
#17
28.83.2
23.927.1
Auto3.4
Teleop22.7
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsEarned46%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
40%Barge oddsMissed42%Barge oddsMissed