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Red133
17662.0
17732.6
804636.9
Blue80
860420.1
99935.7
909614.8
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13555010015020013380

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+33Teleop
+53Endgame
+53Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
0Leave9
9Coral scored#3
44Coral points14
44Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +12
12Coral scored#12
43Coral points43
2Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
12Processor points0
8Net points8
20Algae points8
63Total teleop51
Reef
8L4#6
7L3#4
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
25Game pieces#17
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +53
0Foul points0
133Total score80

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176
#2
62.00.6
53.153.7
Auto18.3
Teleop36.4
End7.4
red by 26.3
999
#19
35.70.9
31.632.6
Auto6.6
Teleop26.0
End3.2
Second
8046
#13
36.91.0
37.338.3
Auto6.9
Teleop23.3
End6.7
red by 16.8
8604
#25
20.11.5
19.921.5
Auto4.6
Teleop14.0
End1.4
Third
177
#7
32.60.6
31.131.7
Auto7.0
Teleop18.6
End7.0
red by 17.8
9096
#32
14.81.5
11.813.3
Auto4.1
Teleop9.0
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned41%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsEarned3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
92%Barge oddsEarned39%Barge oddsMissed