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Red136
19564.4
6133.7
689518.4
Blue110
42932.5
237040.1
110038.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10511450150200136110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+26Teleop
+26Endgame
+26Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave3
3Coral scored#3
14Coral points16
23Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +22
14Coral scored#16
51Coral points59
4Processor algae#1
6Net algae#3
24Processor points6
24Net points12
48Algae points18
99Total teleop77
Reef
8L4#8
3L3#4
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
27Game pieces#23
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +26
0Foul points0
136Total score110

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#1
64.44.0
54.758.7
Auto17.6
Teleop39.4
End7.4
red by 24.3
2370
#11
40.10.6
40.440.9
Auto8.8
Teleop27.1
End4.2
Second
61
#12
33.72.4
32.034.4
Auto5.2
Teleop22.3
End6.2
blue by 4.4
38.10.6
36.236.8
Auto3.4
Teleop29.7
End5.0
Third
6895
#33
18.44.0
13.117.2
Auto3.8
Teleop12.3
End2.3
blue by 14.1
429
#10
32.50.3
28.228.5
Auto7.0
Teleop17.8
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
15%Coral oddsEarned15%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
81%Barge oddsEarned79%Barge oddsEarned