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Red23
17824.1
10276.6
41694.7
Blue53
673130.5
693320.4
192226.3
7%Model gave it93%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50950204060801201401602353

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+30
Endgame+30
Fouls+30
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave3
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points13
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +23
2Coral scored#7
8Coral points25
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
0Processor points6
4Net points4
4Algae points10
12Total teleop35
Reef
1L4#4
1L3#3
0L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
4Game pieces#12
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +30
0Foul points0
23Total score53

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
178
#31
24.13.5
22.218.7
Auto5.7
Teleop15.2
End3.3
blue by 6.3
30.52.0
28.426.4
Auto7.9
Teleop19.4
End3.2
Second
1027
#34
6.63.5
16.212.6
Auto2.0
Teleop4.5
End0.2
blue by 19.6
1922
#29
26.33.3
29.125.8
Auto7.8
Teleop14.8
End3.7
Third
4169
#35
4.73.5
13.49.9
Auto2.8
Teleop0.3
End1.7
blue by 15.7
6933
#28
20.43.3
25.221.9
Auto4.7
Teleop15.2
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
36%Auto oddsMissed88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed28%Barge oddsMissed