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Qual 392025 NE District Western NE Event
Red61
17732.6
856725.4
909614.8
Blue73
462820.2
17336.2
1059218.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7468204060801001206173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+22
Endgame+12
Fouls+12
Autonomouslevel
3Leave9
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points7
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +22
5Coral scored#8
17Coral points27
1Processor algae#3
2Net algae#2
6Processor points18
8Net points8
14Algae points26
31Total teleop53
Reef
4L4#5
2L3#2
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
11Game pieces#14
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +12
0Foul points0
61Total score73

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
177
#7
32.60.4
31.7→31.3
Auto7.0
Teleop18.6
End7.0
blue by 3.6
173
#14
36.20.8
31.5→32.3
Auto6.3
Teleop27.4
End2.5
Second
8567
#21
25.40.6
22.2→21.7
Auto5.2
Teleop18.3
End1.8
red by 5.1
4628
#18
20.20.5
15.5→15.9
Auto4.8
Teleop14.7
End0.7
Third
9096
#32
14.80.7
13.3→12.6
Auto4.1
Teleop9.0
End1.6
blue by 3.5
10592
#16
18.20.5
18.9→19.3
Auto5.2
Teleop11.9
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsEarned74%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
47%Barge oddsEarned24%Barge oddsMissed