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Red135
46749.7
769423.3
314634.4
Blue117
346128.8
801350.0
17662.0
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1041376080120160180200135117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+6Teleop
+18Endgame
+18Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave9
3Coral scored#3
17Coral points14
23Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +6
14Coral scored#18
50Coral points64
2Processor algae#0
6Net algae#4
12Processor points0
24Net points16
36Algae points16
86Total teleop80
Reef
5L4#8
5L3#5
5L2#5
2L1 · trough#3
25Game pieces#25
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +18
0Foul points0
135Total score117

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
467
#4
49.72.0
46.248.1
Auto10.8
Teleop29.1
End9.8
blue by 12.3
176
#2
62.01.2
53.752.5
Auto18.3
Teleop36.4
End7.4
Second
34.43.3
31.334.6
Auto2.9
Teleop24.2
End7.2
blue by 15.6
50.01.2
48.447.2
Auto9.3
Teleop34.1
End6.6
Third
7694
#26
23.33.3
22.525.8
Auto2.7
Teleop20.3
End0.3
blue by 5.5
3461
#17
28.82.0
27.125.1
Auto3.4
Teleop22.7
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
47%Auto oddsEarned90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
68%Barge oddsEarned89%Barge oddsEarned