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Qual 432025 NE District Western NE Event
Red94
6133.7
46749.7
10276.6
Blue132
57148.7
17824.1
17336.2
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1059770809011012013014094132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+16
Teleop+46
Endgame+36
Fouls+38
AutonomousBlue +16
9Leave6
1Coral scored#5
7Coral points26
16Total auto32
TeleoperatedBlue +30
11Coral scored#22
38Coral points80
1Processor algae#1
5Net algae#2
6Processor points6
20Net points8
26Algae points14
64Total teleop94
Reef
5L4#12
2L3#8
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#4
18Game pieces#30
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +38
0Foul points2
94Total score132

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
467
#4
49.70.1
48.1→48.1
Auto10.8
Teleop29.1
End9.8
red by 1.1
571
#3
48.73.9
41.2→45.2
Auto11.7
Teleop33.6
End3.4
Second
61
#12
33.70.1
34.4→34.3
Auto5.2
Teleop22.3
End6.2
blue by 2.5
173
#14
36.23.9
32.3→36.2
Auto6.3
Teleop27.4
End2.5
Third
1027
#34
6.60.1
12.6→12.5
Auto2.0
Teleop4.5
End0.2
blue by 17.5
178
#31
24.13.9
18.7→22.6
Auto5.7
Teleop15.2
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
59%Auto oddsEarned79%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
90%Barge oddsEarned35%Barge oddsMissed