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Red80
99935.7
712738.0
237040.1
Blue162
909614.8
19564.4
673130.5
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions114104608014016018080162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
Teleop+52
Endgame+64
Fouls+82
AutonomousBlue +24
3Leave9
3Coral scored#6
13Coral points31
16Total auto40
TeleoperatedBlue +28
10Coral scored#18
36Coral points64
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
12Processor points12
12Net points12
24Algae points24
60Total teleop88
Reef
6L4#11
3L3#5
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#5
18Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +82
0Foul points18
80Total score162

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2370
#11
40.13.0
40.938.0
Auto8.8
Teleop27.1
End4.2
blue by 24.3
195
#1
64.44.8
58.763.5
Auto17.6
Teleop39.4
End7.4
Second
7127
#24
38.03.0
35.932.9
Auto7.4
Teleop28.9
End1.7
red by 7.6
30.53.1
26.429.5
Auto7.9
Teleop19.4
End3.2
Third
999
#19
35.71.9
31.930.0
Auto6.6
Teleop26.0
End3.2
red by 21.0
9096
#32
14.84.8
12.617.4
Auto4.1
Teleop9.0
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed19%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
53%Barge oddsMissed78%Barge oddsEarned