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Qual 512025 NE District Western NE Event
Red79
856725.4
41694.7
804636.9
Blue90
346128.8
17824.1
689518.4
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions847540601001207990

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+3
Endgame+7
Fouls+11
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave6
3Coral scored#1
16Coral points3
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +10
9Coral scored#14
33Coral points51
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
6Processor points6
16Net points8
22Algae points14
55Total teleop65
Reef
6L4#6
3L3#5
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +4
6Cage & park10
6Total endgame10
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +11
2Foul points6
79Total score90

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8046
#13
36.90.2
38.1→37.9
Auto6.9
Teleop23.3
End6.7
red by 8.1
3461
#17
28.81.0
24.8→25.8
Auto3.4
Teleop22.7
End2.6
Second
8567
#21
25.40.2
22.9→22.7
Auto5.2
Teleop18.3
End1.8
red by 1.2
178
#31
24.11.0
22.6→23.6
Auto5.7
Teleop15.2
End3.3
Third
4169
#35
4.70.2
9.6→9.3
Auto2.8
Teleop0.3
End1.7
blue by 13.7
6895
#33
18.41.0
18.7→19.7
Auto3.8
Teleop12.3
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto oddsEarned66%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
55%Barge oddsMissed16%Barge oddsMissed