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Red89
490529.9
192226.3
226217.0
Blue104
314634.4
57148.7
10276.6
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions781075015020089104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+2Auto
Teleop+21
Endgame+21
Fouls+15
AutonomousRed +2
6Leave9
3Coral scored#2
17Coral points12
23Total auto21
TeleoperatedBlue +23
5Coral scored#10
18Coral points37
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
32Total teleop55
Reef
3L4#4
2L3#5
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
11Game pieces#16
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +15
18Foul points12
89Total score104

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4905
#27
29.90.1
27.127.1
Auto6.1
Teleop19.3
End4.4
blue by 18.8
571
#3
48.70.2
45.244.9
Auto11.7
Teleop33.6
End3.4
Second
1922
#29
26.30.1
25.125.0
Auto7.8
Teleop14.8
End3.7
blue by 8.1
34.40.2
36.636.4
Auto2.9
Teleop24.2
End7.2
Third
2262
#20
17.00.1
19.519.4
Auto3.8
Teleop10.9
End2.4
red by 10.4
1027
#34
6.60.2
12.512.3
Auto2.0
Teleop4.5
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsEarned48%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
14%Barge oddsEarned44%Barge oddsEarned