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Red129
801350.0
556330.8
217025.2
Blue91
17336.2
6133.7
971017.4
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1049740608012014016012991

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+30Teleop
+30Endgame
+38Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave6
1Coral scored#2
7Coral points10
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +30
15Coral scored#10
55Coral points37
2Processor algae#2
6Net algae#3
12Processor points12
24Net points12
36Algae points24
91Total teleop61
Reef
6L4#4
3L3#4
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#17
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +38
8Foul points0
129Total score91

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.02.0
47.149.0
Auto9.3
Teleop34.1
End6.6
red by 13.8
173
#14
36.20.2
36.837.0
Auto6.3
Teleop27.4
End2.5
Second
5563
#23
30.82.0
23.825.7
Auto2.9
Teleop24.0
End3.9
blue by 2.9
61
#12
33.70.1
35.936.1
Auto5.2
Teleop22.3
End6.2
Third
2170
#22
25.22.6
20.823.4
Auto3.1
Teleop18.1
End3.9
red by 7.8
9710
#30
17.40.2
16.316.5
Auto4.8
Teleop10.8
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
65%Auto oddsEarned73%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
62%Barge oddsEarned56%Barge oddsEarned