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Red106
673130.5
42932.5
712738.0
Blue106
856725.4
99935.7
693320.4
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions106814060120140160180106106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
Teleop+2
0Endgame0
0Fouls0
AutonomousRed +10
6Leave3
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points6
19Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +12
18Coral scored#20
63Coral points73
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
12Processor points6
8Net points16
20Algae points22
83Total teleop95
Reef
9L4#7
6L3#8
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
25Game pieces#26
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totallevel
0Foul points0
106Total score106

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7127
#24
38.0
Auto7.4
Teleop28.9
End1.7
red by 2.3
999
#19
35.7
Auto6.6
Teleop26.0
End3.2
Second
429
#10
32.5
Auto7.0
Teleop17.8
End7.7
red by 7.2
8567
#21
25.4
Auto5.2
Teleop18.3
End1.8
Third
30.5
Auto7.9
Teleop19.4
End3.2
red by 10.1
6933
#28
20.4
Auto4.7
Teleop15.2
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned83%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
58%Barge oddsMissed18%Barge oddsMissed