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Red130
19564.4
804636.9
314634.4
Blue51
10276.6
769423.3
23632.5
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1626805010015020025013051

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+63Teleop
+73Endgame
+79Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
6Leave0
4Coral scored#2
20Coral points9
26Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +46
16Coral scored#6
58Coral points20
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
6Processor points6
12Net points4
18Algae points10
76Total teleop30
Reef
7L4#2
6L3#3
3L2#2
4L1 · trough#1
24Game pieces#10
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +79
12Foul points6
130Total score51

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#1
64.42.7
62.960.2
Auto17.6
Teleop39.4
End7.4
red by 31.9
236
#15
32.53.3
36.032.7
Auto7.6
Teleop19.7
End5.2
Second
8046
#13
36.92.7
37.935.2
Auto6.9
Teleop23.3
End6.7
red by 13.6
7694
#26
23.33.3
22.519.1
Auto2.7
Teleop20.3
End0.3
Third
34.42.7
36.433.8
Auto2.9
Teleop24.2
End7.2
red by 27.8
1027
#34
6.63.3
12.39.0
Auto2.0
Teleop4.5
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned42%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
33%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
94%Barge oddsEarned33%Barge oddsMissed