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Red123
1059218.2
801350.0
46749.7
Blue95
17824.1
17732.6
192226.3
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions129735010015020012395

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+34Teleop
+30Endgame
+28Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave3
3Coral scored#3
17Coral points17
23Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +31
16Coral scored#11
56Coral points39
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
12Processor points6
16Net points8
28Algae points14
84Total teleop53
Reef
7L4#6
5L3#3
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
25Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +4
16Cage & park20
16Total endgame20
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +28
0Foul points2
123Total score95

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.00.1
49.049.2
Auto9.3
Teleop34.1
End6.6
red by 17.4
177
#7
32.60.7
28.228.9
Auto7.0
Teleop18.6
End7.0
Second
467
#4
49.70.1
46.446.5
Auto10.8
Teleop29.1
End9.8
red by 23.5
1922
#29
26.30.9
25.025.9
Auto7.8
Teleop14.8
End3.7
Third
18.20.1
20.120.3
Auto5.2
Teleop11.9
End1.1
blue by 5.9
178
#31
24.10.9
23.624.5
Auto5.7
Teleop15.2
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
91%Barge oddsEarned43%Barge oddsEarned