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Red121
226217.0
17662.0
57148.7
Blue15
110038.1
689518.4
41694.7
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1356205010015020012115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+98Teleop
+106Endgame
+106Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
6Leave0
4Coral scored#2
21Coral points9
27Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +80
18Coral scored#0
66Coral points0
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
6Processor points0
8Net points0
14Algae points0
80Total teleop0
Reef
8L4#1
7L3#1
3L2#0
4L1 · trough#0
25Game pieces#2
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +106
0Foul points0
121Total score15

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176
#2
62.00.1
55.455.5
Auto18.3
Teleop36.4
End7.4
red by 23.9
38.14.5
37.032.5
Auto3.4
Teleop29.7
End5.0
Second
571
#3
48.70.1
44.945.1
Auto11.7
Teleop33.6
End3.4
red by 30.3
6895
#33
18.44.5
19.715.1
Auto3.8
Teleop12.3
End2.3
Third
2262
#20
17.00.1
19.419.5
Auto3.8
Teleop10.9
End2.4
red by 12.3
4169
#35
4.74.5
9.34.8
Auto2.8
Teleop0.3
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned62%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
10%Coral oddsEarned9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
64%Barge oddsEarned16%Barge oddsMissed