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Red54
860420.1
971017.4
346128.8
Blue61
490529.9
237040.1
909614.8
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67950501505461

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+5
Endgame+7
Fouls+7
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave9
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points7
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +2
8Coral scored#8
27Coral points29
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
41Total teleop39
Reef
2L4#4
3L3#2
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
11Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +7
0Foul points0
54Total score61

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3461
#17
28.80.7
25.825.0
Auto3.4
Teleop22.7
End2.6
blue by 11.3
2370
#11
40.11.9
38.636.6
Auto8.8
Teleop27.1
End4.2
Second
8604
#25
20.10.7
19.719.0
Auto4.6
Teleop14.0
End1.4
blue by 9.8
4905
#27
29.91.4
27.125.6
Auto6.1
Teleop19.3
End4.4
Third
9710
#30
17.40.7
16.515.8
Auto4.8
Teleop10.8
End1.7
red by 2.6
9096
#32
14.81.9
17.015.1
Auto4.1
Teleop9.0
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
31%Auto oddsMissed60%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed46%Barge oddsMissed