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Red130
860420.1
1059218.2
17662.0
Blue111
490529.9
10276.6
19564.4
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions89750204060100120140130111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+5Teleop
+7Endgame
+19Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
6Leave3
5Coral scored#3
24Coral points17
30Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +5
12Coral scored#14
42Coral points51
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
12Processor points12
12Net points8
24Algae points20
66Total teleop71
Reef
4L4#7
6L3#4
5L2#3
2L1 · trough#3
22Game pieces#21
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +19
18Foul points6
130Total score111

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176
#2
62.01.5
43.344.7
Auto18.3
Teleop36.4
End7.4
blue by 2.4
195
#1
64.42.8
41.043.8
Auto17.6
Teleop39.4
End7.4
Second
8604
#25
20.12.4
21.824.2
Auto4.6
Teleop14.0
End1.4
blue by 9.8
4905
#27
29.92.8
10.513.3
Auto6.1
Teleop19.3
End4.4
Third
18.21.5
17.218.7
Auto5.2
Teleop11.9
End1.1
red by 11.6
1027
#34
6.62.8
19.322.1
Auto2.0
Teleop4.5
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsEarned47%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
46%Barge oddsEarned37%Barge oddsEarned