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Red53
673130.5
99935.7
17336.2
Blue34
41694.7
556330.8
971017.4
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions916002040801001201405334

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+17Teleop
+19Endgame
+19Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave0
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points9
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +17
7Coral scored#5
26Coral points17
0Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
0Processor points0
12Net points4
12Algae points4
38Total teleop21
Reef
3L4#2
2L3#3
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#8
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +19
0Foul points0
53Total score34

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
173
#14
36.22.7
24.421.7
Auto6.3
Teleop27.4
End2.5
red by 5.4
5563
#23
30.81.4
20.919.5
Auto2.9
Teleop24.0
End3.9
Second
999
#19
35.71.6
28.827.2
Auto6.6
Teleop26.0
End3.2
red by 18.4
9710
#30
17.42.3
15.713.4
Auto4.8
Teleop10.8
End1.7
Third
30.51.6
24.022.4
Auto7.9
Teleop19.4
End3.2
red by 25.8
4169
#35
4.72.3
18.215.9
Auto2.8
Teleop0.3
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsMissed25%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
66%Barge oddsMissed29%Barge oddsMissed