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Qual 652025 NE District Western NE Event
Red77
237040.1
192226.3
6133.7
Blue91
769423.3
41694.7
17732.6
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1134701001507791

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+18
Endgame+8
Fouls+14
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave3
3Coral scored#2
16Coral points9
19Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +25
9Coral scored#14
34Coral points51
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
44Total teleop69
Reef
4L4#4
3L3#4
3L2#5
2L1 · trough#3
14Game pieces#20
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +14
0Foul points6
77Total score91

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2370
#11
40.11.8
36.6→34.8
Auto8.8
Teleop27.1
End4.2
red by 7.5
177
#7
32.62.1
29.6→31.7
Auto7.0
Teleop18.6
End7.0
Second
61
#12
33.71.5
34.1→32.6
Auto5.2
Teleop22.3
End6.2
red by 10.4
7694
#26
23.32.4
20.9→23.3
Auto2.7
Teleop20.3
End0.3
Third
1922
#29
26.31.6
28.3→26.7
Auto7.8
Teleop14.8
End3.7
red by 21.6
4169
#35
4.72.4
2.3→4.7
Auto2.8
Teleop0.3
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned47%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
83%Barge oddsEarned35%Barge oddsMissed