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Red118
42932.5
346128.8
99935.7
Blue65
1059218.2
314634.4
23632.5
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions969670809010011011865

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+45Teleop
+53Endgame
+53Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave9
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points3
19Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +38
19Coral scored#10
69Coral points37
2Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
12Processor points6
4Net points4
16Algae points10
85Total teleop47
Reef
10L4#5
4L3#3
4L2#2
4L1 · trough#1
25Game pieces#13
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +53
0Foul points0
118Total score65

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
999
#19
35.71.8
32.834.6
Auto6.6
Teleop26.0
End3.2
red by 1.4
34.41.7
35.233.5
Auto2.9
Teleop24.2
End7.2
Second
429
#10
32.51.8
31.233.0
Auto7.0
Teleop17.8
End7.7
Level
236
#15
32.51.7
33.131.4
Auto7.6
Teleop19.7
End5.2
Third
3461
#17
28.82.0
26.828.8
Auto3.4
Teleop22.7
End2.6
red by 10.6
18.21.5
19.818.2
Auto5.2
Teleop11.9
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned84%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
67%Barge oddsEarned72%Barge oddsMissed