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Red20
971017.4
693320.4
909614.8
Blue136
689518.4
57148.7
46749.7
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51128010015020020136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+22
Teleop+98
Endgame+116
Fouls+116
AutonomousBlue +22
6Leave9
0Coral scored#4
0Coral points19
6Total auto28
TeleoperatedBlue +76
2Coral scored#14
8Coral points52
0Processor algae#2
1Net algae#6
0Processor points12
4Net points24
4Algae points36
12Total teleop88
Reef
1L4#6
1L3#5
0L2#4
0L1 · trough#3
3Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +18
2Cage & park20
2Total endgame20
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +116
0Foul points0
20Total score136

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6933
#28
20.43.0
23.420.4
Auto4.7
Teleop15.2
End0.4
blue by 29.4
467
#4
49.71.7
47.048.7
Auto10.8
Teleop29.1
End9.8
Second
9710
#30
17.42.8
16.413.6
Auto4.8
Teleop10.8
End1.7
blue by 31.3
571
#3
48.71.9
47.249.1
Auto11.7
Teleop33.6
End3.4
Third
9096
#32
14.82.8
17.514.8
Auto4.1
Teleop9.0
End1.6
blue by 3.7
6895
#33
18.41.9
16.518.4
Auto3.8
Teleop12.3
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsMissed88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed19%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed68%Barge oddsEarned