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Red143
237040.1
17662.0
462820.2
Blue67
804636.9
10276.6
17336.2
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions122902040608010014016018014367

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+31Auto
+74Teleop
+82Endgame
+76Fouls
AutonomousRed +31
6Leave6
6Coral scored#0
31Coral points0
37Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +43
14Coral scored#9
52Coral points31
4Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
24Processor points6
16Net points12
40Algae points18
92Total teleop49
Reef
9L4#4
6L3#3
2L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
28Game pieces#13
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +76
0Foul points6
143Total score67

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176
#2
62.02.3
56.058.3
Auto18.3
Teleop36.4
End7.4
red by 25.1
8046
#13
36.91.7
37.635.9
Auto6.9
Teleop23.3
End6.7
Second
2370
#11
40.12.5
34.837.4
Auto8.8
Teleop27.1
End4.2
red by 3.9
173
#14
36.21.7
38.436.6
Auto6.3
Teleop27.4
End2.5
Third
4628
#18
20.22.3
17.920.2
Auto4.8
Teleop14.7
End0.7
red by 13.6
1027
#34
6.61.7
8.36.6
Auto2.0
Teleop4.5
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned70%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
34%Coral oddsEarned7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
63%Barge oddsEarned55%Barge oddsMissed