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Red45
17824.1
673130.5
226217.0
Blue134
801350.0
19564.4
860420.1
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions721525010020045134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+75
Endgame+89
Fouls+89
AutonomousBlue +14
0Leave6
3Coral scored#5
16Coral points24
16Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +61
5Coral scored#18
17Coral points64
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#3
6Processor points12
4Net points12
10Algae points24
27Total teleop88
Reef
3L4#10
2L3#7
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
10Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +89
0Foul points0
45Total score134

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.52.2
30.027.8
Auto7.9
Teleop19.4
End3.2
blue by 34.0
195
#1
64.40.0
60.660.6
Auto17.6
Teleop39.4
End7.4
Second
178
#31
24.12.4
25.623.1
Auto5.7
Teleop15.2
End3.3
blue by 25.8
50.00.0
50.450.4
Auto9.3
Teleop34.1
End6.6
Third
2262
#20
17.02.4
19.517.0
Auto3.8
Teleop10.9
End2.4
blue by 3.1
8604
#25
20.10.0
20.020.1
Auto4.6
Teleop14.0
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed30%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
45%Barge oddsMissed93%Barge oddsEarned