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Red137
17824.1
804636.9
46749.7
Blue97
6133.7
23632.5
99935.7
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions121106608010014016013797

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+28Teleop
+40Endgame
+40Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
6Leave6
6Coral scored#2
28Coral points10
34Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +10
13Coral scored#18
47Coral points63
4Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
24Processor points6
16Net points8
40Algae points14
87Total teleop77
Reef
8L4#8
5L3#6
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
27Game pieces#23
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +40
0Foul points0
137Total score97

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
467
#4
49.70.6
49.149.6
Auto10.8
Teleop29.1
End9.8
red by 14.0
999
#19
35.70.2
35.935.7
Auto6.6
Teleop26.0
End3.2
Second
8046
#13
36.90.6
36.236.8
Auto6.9
Teleop23.3
End6.7
red by 3.2
61
#12
33.70.2
33.933.7
Auto5.2
Teleop22.3
End6.2
Third
178
#31
24.10.6
23.524.0
Auto5.7
Teleop15.2
End3.3
blue by 8.4
236
#15
32.50.2
32.732.5
Auto7.6
Teleop19.7
End5.2