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Red147
237040.1
556330.8
673130.5
Blue127
17732.6
712738.0
490529.9
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions106105100110120130140147127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+20Teleop
+20Endgame
+20Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave0
4Coral scored#6
21Coral points30
30Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +20
20Coral scored#16
71Coral points57
1Processor algae#2
6Net algae#3
6Processor points12
24Net points12
30Algae points24
101Total teleop81
Reef
11L4#10
5L3#4
4L2#4
4L1 · trough#4
31Game pieces#27
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +20
0Foul points0
147Total score127

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2370
#11
40.11.1
38.639.8
Auto8.8
Teleop27.1
End4.2
red by 2.0
7127
#24
38.00.7
37.338.0
Auto7.4
Teleop28.9
End1.7
Second
5563
#23
30.81.1
29.430.5
Auto2.9
Teleop24.0
End3.9
blue by 1.8
177
#7
32.60.6
31.932.6
Auto7.0
Teleop18.6
End7.0
Third
30.51.1
29.030.1
Auto7.9
Teleop19.4
End3.2
red by 0.6
4905
#27
29.90.6
29.229.9
Auto6.1
Teleop19.3
End4.4