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Red134
17824.1
804636.9
46749.7
Blue107
17732.6
712738.0
490529.9
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions121101406080140160180134107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+3Teleop
+25Endgame
+27Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave3
6Coral scored#5
31Coral points27
34Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +1
16Coral scored#12
58Coral points43
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#6
6Processor points6
8Net points24
14Algae points30
72Total teleop73
Reef
5L4#6
7L3#6
6L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
25Game pieces#24
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +27
2Foul points0
134Total score107

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
467
#4
49.70.5
48.749.2
Auto10.8
Teleop29.1
End9.8
red by 11.7
7127
#24
38.00.2
37.137.3
Auto7.4
Teleop28.9
End1.7
Second
8046
#13
36.90.5
35.936.3
Auto6.9
Teleop23.3
End6.7
red by 4.3
177
#7
32.60.1
31.731.9
Auto7.0
Teleop18.6
End7.0
Third
178
#31
24.10.5
23.123.6
Auto5.7
Teleop15.2
End3.3
blue by 5.7
4905
#27
29.90.1
29.029.2
Auto6.1
Teleop19.3
End4.4