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Red127
6133.7
23632.5
99935.7
Blue104
314634.4
217025.2
110038.1
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions108105708090100120130140150127104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+27Teleop
+15Endgame
+23Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
6Leave3
5Coral scored#1
24Coral points6
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +6
15Coral scored#13
55Coral points45
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
12Processor points12
8Net points12
20Algae points24
75Total teleop69
Reef
7L4#6
5L3#4
3L2#3
5L1 · trough#1
24Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +23
8Foul points0
127Total score104

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
999
#19
35.70.4
35.535.9
Auto6.6
Teleop26.0
End3.2
blue by 2.4
38.10.2
38.038.1
Auto3.4
Teleop29.7
End5.0
Second
61
#12
33.70.4
33.533.9
Auto5.2
Teleop22.3
End6.2
blue by 0.7
34.40.2
34.234.4
Auto2.9
Teleop24.2
End7.2
Third
236
#15
32.50.4
32.332.7
Auto7.6
Teleop19.7
End5.2
red by 7.3
2170
#22
25.20.2
25.025.2
Auto3.1
Teleop18.1
End3.9