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Red80
42932.5
17336.2
192226.3
Blue100
17732.6
712738.0
490529.9
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1021028085909510010511080100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
Teleop+18
Endgame+20
Fouls+20
AutonomousBlue +1
0Leave9
4Coral scored#3
22Coral points14
22Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +17
8Coral scored#11
30Coral points41
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
6Processor points12
8Net points8
14Algae points20
44Total teleop61
Reef
5L4#6
4L3#3
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#3
15Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +20
0Foul points0
80Total score100

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
173
#14
36.20.4
36.536.2
Auto6.3
Teleop27.4
End2.5
blue by 1.9
7127
#24
38.00.0
37.337.3
Auto7.4
Teleop28.9
End1.7
Second
429
#10
32.50.4
32.932.5
Auto7.0
Teleop17.8
End7.7
Level
177
#7
32.60.0
31.931.9
Auto7.0
Teleop18.6
End7.0
Third
1922
#29
26.30.4
26.626.3
Auto7.8
Teleop14.8
End3.7
blue by 3.6
4905
#27
29.90.0
29.229.2
Auto6.1
Teleop19.3
End4.4