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Red213
17662.0
971017.4
19564.4
Blue125
237040.1
556330.8
673130.5
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1539750200213125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+39Auto
+76Teleop
+88Endgame
+88Fouls
AutonomousRed +39
0Leave3
12Coral scored#3
58Coral points16
58Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +37
24Coral scored#19
87Coral points70
3Processor algae#1
6Net algae#4
18Processor points6
24Net points16
42Algae points22
129Total teleop92
Reef
10L4#6
11L3#7
8L2#6
7L1 · trough#3
45Game pieces#27
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +88
0Foul points0
213Total score125

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#1
64.41.5
61.963.4
Auto17.6
Teleop39.4
End7.4
red by 24.3
2370
#11
40.10.5
38.238.6
Auto8.8
Teleop27.1
End4.2
Second
176
#2
62.01.5
59.561.0
Auto18.3
Teleop36.4
End7.4
red by 31.2
5563
#23
30.80.5
28.929.4
Auto2.9
Teleop24.0
End3.9
Third
9710
#30
17.41.5
14.916.4
Auto4.8
Teleop10.8
End1.7
blue by 13.1
30.50.5
28.629.0
Auto7.9
Teleop19.4
End3.2