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Red207
19078.7
318232.6
176869.3
Blue187
862636.4
12574.1
8867.9
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions186189150200250207187

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
0Teleop0
+22Endgame
+20Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave6
10Coral scored#9
51Coral points45
51Total auto51
Teleoperatedlevel
23Coral scored#23
82Coral points84
4Processor algae#3
6Net algae#7
24Processor points18
24Net points28
48Algae points46
130Total teleop130
Reef
15L4#13
6L3#9
7L2#5
5L1 · trough#5
43Game pieces#42
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +20
0Foul points2
207Total score187

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
190
#1
78.70.6
78.078.7
Auto20.9
Teleop49.0
End8.8
red by 4.5
125
#2
74.10.2
74.074.1
Auto21.6
Teleop44.8
End7.6
Second
69.30.6
68.769.3
Auto14.3
Teleop47.1
End7.9
red by 1.4
88
#10
67.90.2
67.767.9
Auto16.0
Teleop43.5
End8.4
Third
3182
#33
32.60.6
32.032.6
Auto4.6
Teleop20.8
End7.2
blue by 3.7
8626
#29
36.40.2
36.236.4
Auto6.1
Teleop26.6
End3.7