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Red201
19078.7
318232.6
176869.3
Blue199
862636.4
12574.1
8867.9
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions185188120140160200220240260201199

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+12Teleop
+2Endgame
+2Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave3
8Coral scored#8
38Coral points41
44Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +12
28Coral scored#26
101Coral points93
4Processor algae#2
4Net algae#6
24Processor points12
16Net points24
40Algae points36
141Total teleop129
Reef
12L4#8
13L3#14
8L2#8
3L1 · trough#4
44Game pieces#42
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +2
0Foul points0
201Total score199

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
190
#1
78.70.5
77.578.0
Auto20.9
Teleop49.0
End8.8
red by 4.5
125
#2
74.10.5
73.574.0
Auto21.6
Teleop44.8
End7.6
Second
69.30.5
68.168.7
Auto14.3
Teleop47.1
End7.9
red by 1.4
88
#10
67.90.5
67.267.7
Auto16.0
Teleop43.5
End8.4
Third
3182
#33
32.60.5
31.532.0
Auto4.6
Teleop20.8
End7.2
blue by 3.7
8626
#29
36.40.5
35.736.2
Auto6.1
Teleop26.6
End3.7