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Red216
862636.4
12574.1
8867.9
Blue161
207926.1
115367.4
23054.9
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions191158100250216161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
+45Teleop
+55Endgame
+55Fouls
AutonomousRed +8
3Leave6
10Coral scored#7
48Coral points37
51Total auto43
TeleoperatedRed +37
22Coral scored#18
79Coral points64
4Processor algae#3
9Net algae#5
24Processor points18
36Net points20
60Algae points38
139Total teleop102
Reef
14L4#8
5L3#8
8L2#4
5L1 · trough#5
45Game pieces#33
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +55
0Foul points0
216Total score161

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125
#2
74.10.9
72.573.5
Auto21.6
Teleop44.8
End7.6
red by 6.7
67.40.3
67.167.4
Auto10.6
Teleop46.5
End10.3
Second
88
#10
67.90.9
66.367.2
Auto16.0
Teleop43.5
End8.4
red by 13.0
230
#5
54.90.3
54.654.9
Auto18.2
Teleop30.5
End6.1
Third
8626
#29
36.40.9
34.835.7
Auto6.1
Teleop26.6
End3.7
red by 10.3
2079
#37
26.10.3
25.826.1
Auto7.0
Teleop17.2
End2.0