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Red175
207926.1
115367.4
23054.9
Blue137
237056.8
175742.0
110051.6
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions160161140150170180190175137

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+20Auto
+34Teleop
+46Endgame
+38Fouls
AutonomousRed +20
0Leave0
7Coral scored#3
36Coral points16
36Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +14
24Coral scored#18
87Coral points65
1Processor algae#3
5Net algae#4
6Processor points18
20Net points16
26Algae points34
113Total teleop99
Reef
12L4#6
7L3#4
9L2#7
3L1 · trough#4
37Game pieces#28
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +38
0Foul points8
175Total score137

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67.40.7
66.567.1
Auto10.6
Teleop46.5
End10.3
red by 10.7
56.80.5
57.356.8
Auto10.3
Teleop39.9
End6.6
Second
230
#5
54.90.7
53.954.6
Auto18.2
Teleop30.5
End6.1
red by 3.3
51.60.5
52.151.6
Auto7.3
Teleop39.0
End5.3
Third
2079
#37
26.10.7
25.225.8
Auto7.0
Teleop17.2
End2.0
blue by 15.9
1757
#15
42.00.5
42.542.0
Auto5.5
Teleop28.3
End8.1