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Red207
19078.7
318232.6
176869.3
Blue206
862636.4
8867.9
12574.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions185183140160200220240207206

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+28
Teleop+13
Endgame+13
+1Fouls
AutonomousBlue +28
0Leave9
5Coral scored#8
23Coral points42
23Total auto51
TeleoperatedRed +15
29Coral scored#23
106Coral points83
3Processor algae#3
5Net algae#7
18Processor points18
20Net points28
38Algae points46
144Total teleop129
Reef
8L4#10
13L3#9
9L2#8
4L1 · trough#4
42Game pieces#41
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Penalties & totalRed +1
14Foul points0
207Total score206

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
190
#1
78.70.3
77.277.5
Auto20.9
Teleop49.0
End8.8
red by 4.5
125
#2
74.10.7
71.872.5
Auto21.6
Teleop44.8
End7.6
Second
69.30.3
67.868.1
Auto14.3
Teleop47.1
End7.9
red by 1.4
88
#10
67.90.7
65.666.3
Auto16.0
Teleop43.5
End8.4
Third
3182
#33
32.60.3
31.231.5
Auto4.6
Teleop20.8
End7.2
blue by 3.7
8626
#29
36.40.7
34.134.8
Auto6.1
Teleop26.6
End3.7