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Red90
226220.5
542244.9
320517.8
Blue125
549112.0
176869.3
860431.7
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7785020030040050060090125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+35
Endgame+35
Fouls+35
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave6
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points10
6Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +25
14Coral scored#19
52Coral points67
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
6Processor points12
8Net points12
14Algae points24
66Total teleop91
Reef
6L4#9
5L3#4
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#5
17Game pieces#26
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +35
2Foul points2
90Total score125

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5422
#14
44.91.2
33.334.5
Auto9.3
Teleop31.5
End4.1
blue by 24.3
69.33.1
55.158.2
Auto14.3
Teleop47.1
End7.9
Second
2262
#28
20.51.2
20.822.0
Auto5.4
Teleop12.8
End2.3
blue by 11.2
8604
#23
31.73.1
18.922.0
Auto4.4
Teleop25.3
End2.0
Third
3205
#30
17.81.2
16.217.4
Auto2.2
Teleop14.9
End0.7
red by 5.7
5491
#26
12.03.1
3.06.1
Auto2.7
Teleop6.3
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
69%Auto oddsMissed33%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
42%Barge oddsEarned52%Barge oddsEarned