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Red92
1039321.9
862636.4
174041.1
Blue114
173536.9
175742.0
15732.6
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86101406012014016018092114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
0Teleop0
Endgame+22
Fouls+22
AutonomousRed +17
9Leave9
3Coral scored#0
17Coral points0
26Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +17
13Coral scored#15
48Coral points55
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
6Processor points12
8Net points12
14Algae points24
62Total teleop79
Reef
7L4#6
4L3#4
2L2#2
3L1 · trough#3
19Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +22
4Cage & park26
4Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +22
0Foul points0
92Total score114

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1740
#19
41.10.0
36.336.4
Auto11.7
Teleop22.6
End6.8
blue by 0.9
1757
#15
42.00.8
42.243.0
Auto5.5
Teleop28.3
End8.1
Second
8626
#29
36.40.0
26.226.3
Auto6.1
Teleop26.6
End3.7
blue by 0.5
1735
#17
36.90.8
22.523.3
Auto2.7
Teleop28.4
End5.7
Third
21.90.0
17.617.6
Auto7.0
Teleop12.4
End2.5
blue by 10.6
157
#34
32.61.3
26.027.3
Auto3.9
Teleop26.0
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsEarned33%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsMissed49%Barge oddsEarned